Proceedings of the 10th International Academic Conference, Vienna

ESTIMATION OF THE DISTRIBUTION OF REMANING LIFE TIME OF THE PEOPLE IN TURKEY

MEHMET FEDAI KAYA, MUSLU KAZIM KÖREZ, SÜLEYMAN DÜNDAR

Abstract:

The distribution of lifetime is one of the most important factors for the determination of the population volume. Knowing the population volume is of great importance for the future planning. For the future planning depending on the population volume, it is necessary to know the distribution of lifetime. Accordingly in this study, the distribution of lifetime of people in Turkey was examined. Obtained from the Turkish statistical Institute (TUIK) lifetime statistics of the years between 2004 and 2012 were used in this study. Data contain lifetime between 0-105 years. Lifetime distribution was found for each year. Furthermore the probability distribution was found that a person who was known to have lived at least c years might live more at least x years. Lifetime was modelled by three parameters Dagum distribution.

Keywords: Lifetime Distribution, Dagum Distribution, Parameter, Estimation, Average Life

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